Preoperative predictors of early patient-reported recovery trajectories after major surgery: a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial

Authors Miriam van der Velde, Jessica M. de Graaf, Edwin Geleijn, Karin Valkenet, Marike van der Leeden
Published in Surgery Open Science
Publication date 19 October 2026
Research groups Innovation of Movement Care
Type Article

Summary

Objective To examine recovery trajectories of Physical Functioning (PF) and the Ability to Participate in Social Roles and Activities (APS) after major surgery, and identify preoperative predictors. Background Recovery after major surgery is typically evaluated at isolated time points, limiting insight into recovery dynamics. Understanding recovery trajectories and their determinants may inform prognostic model development. Methods This exploratory secondary analysis used data from a multicenter randomized controlled trial including adults undergoing major elective surgery. Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) Computer Adaptive Test PF and APS were assessed preoperatively and at 1, 3, 6, and 12 weeks post discharge. Recovery trajectories were modeled using linear mixed effects models with random intercepts and slopes. Preoperative characteristics were examined using interaction terms for time and time2. Results Among 369 patients, PF and APS followed curvilinear patterns. For PF, older age (β = −0.04, 95% CI \[−0.06 to −0.02\]), unintentional weight loss and higher comorbidity were associated with slower recovery. Higher baseline PF predicted with faster recovery. Differences exceeding the Minimal Important Change (MIC) were observed for age and baseline PF. For APS, older age was also associated with slower recovery (β = −0.04, 95% CI \[−0.08 to −0.004\]), and intermediate education (vs low) with differences in recovery curvature. Higher baseline APS predicted higher postoperative scores. MIC-exceeding differences were observed for baseline APS and age. Conclusions Early postoperative recovery is curvilinear. Multiple preoperative factors were associated with recovery trajectories, supporting their role as candidate predictors for future trajectory-based prognostic models.

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Language English
Published in Surgery Open Science
Key words major surgery, postoperative recovery, PROMIS, physical functioning, social participation
Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.sopen.2026.10.002
Page range 74-82